perspectivescientific
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Quantitative research shows that short look-back windows (1-7 days) often outperform longer histories when training LSTM and GRU models for next-day forex direction prediction. A 2025 study across eight USD pairs found that freely floating pairs like USD/JPY favor the shortest context, while policy-managed pairs like USD/CNY can benefit from moderately longer windows. This suggests market efficiency varies by pair, and model architecture should be tuned per instrument rather than applied uniformly.
controversy
Supporting arguments
- Short windows capture current regime without noise from stale regimes
- Pair-specific optimal windows reflect differing market microstructure
- Longer windows (90-252 days) rarely improve and often degrade accuracy
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